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Red141
927726.7
61888.1
442159.4
Blue63
1038422.7
94497.4
486215.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11150010015020014163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+68Teleop
+74Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave3
5Coral scored#1
25Coral points6
34Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +43
17Coral scored#8
61Coral points30
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
85Total teleop42
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#2
7L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#12
BargeRed +6
16Cage & park10
16Total endgame10
Penalties & totalRed +78
6Foul points2
141Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.40.8
57.358.1
Auto15.8
Teleop35.3
End8.3
red by 36.7
22.70.0
22.922.9
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End4.4
Second
26.70.8
24.725.4
Auto6.0
Teleop14.9
End5.9
red by 11.6
15.10.0
15.315.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.8
End0.2
Third
6188
#13
8.10.8
6.06.8
Auto1.8
Teleop4.9
End1.4
red by 0.7
7.40.0
7.67.6
Auto1.9
Teleop3.9
End1.7