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Red189
441574.8
68734.6
519969.7
Blue176
84663.4
412353.9
116039.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188152100200250189176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+9Teleop
+21Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points41
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +23
26Coral scored#21
93Coral points76
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
12Processor points18
28Net points16
40Algae points34
133Total teleop110
Reef
11L4#11
11L3#11
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#36
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points8
189Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.80.3
74.174.4
Auto15.7
Teleop49.3
End9.8
red by 11.5
846
#5
63.40.4
61.261.6
Auto13.5
Teleop46.8
End3.0
Second
5199
#19
69.70.3
69.069.3
Auto13.5
Teleop46.1
End10.1
red by 15.9
4123
#16
53.90.4
51.752.1
Auto14.3
Teleop37.8
End1.8
Third
687
#28
34.60.3
33.834.1
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End4.5
blue by 4.5
1160
#25
39.10.4
36.937.3
Auto8.8
Teleop26.4
End3.8