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Red201
441574.8
68734.6
519969.7
Blue193
84663.4
412353.9
116039.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187157100200250201193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+10
+10Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points35
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +3
32Coral scored#19
114Coral points69
3Processor algae#7
2Net algae#8
18Processor points42
8Net points32
26Algae points74
140Total teleop143
Reef
13L4#10
10L3#10
10L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#41
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points2
201Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.80.5
74.374.8
Auto15.7
Teleop49.3
End9.8
red by 11.5
846
#5
63.40.8
62.563.4
Auto13.5
Teleop46.8
End3.0
Second
5199
#19
69.70.5
69.269.7
Auto13.5
Teleop46.1
End10.1
red by 15.9
4123
#16
53.90.8
53.053.9
Auto14.3
Teleop37.8
End1.8
Third
687
#28
34.60.5
34.034.6
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End4.5
blue by 4.5
1160
#25
39.10.8
38.239.1
Auto8.8
Teleop26.4
End3.8