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Red121
607226.9
39947.4
715750.3
Blue116
760713.6
519969.7
395226.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141088090100120130140150121116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +2
19Coral scored#16
70Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
84Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#6
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
121Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#10
50.30.8
40.140.9
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End6.9
blue by 19.4
5199
#19
69.70.7
61.662.3
Auto13.5
Teleop46.1
End10.1
Second
399
#3
47.40.8
40.040.8
Auto8.1
Teleop33.2
End6.2
red by 20.5
3952
#26
26.90.7
25.326.1
Auto5.1
Teleop16.4
End5.5
Third
6072
#23
26.91.0
22.923.9
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
red by 13.4
7607
#37
13.60.8
13.814.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned