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Red105
69120.8
586918.2
258438.6
Blue114
263741.1
116039.1
98042.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738720406080100120140105114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +3
16Coral scored#16
56Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
80Total teleop77
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
105Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2584
#32
38.61.4
37.038.4
Auto6.4
Teleop24.6
End7.5
blue by 3.4
980
#20
42.01.7
29.631.3
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.7
Second
691
#35
20.82.3
17.219.5
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
blue by 20.3
41.11.9
23.425.3
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1
Third
5869
#31
18.21.7
12.013.7
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
blue by 20.9
1160
#25
39.11.5
25.827.3
Auto8.8
Teleop26.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned