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Red125
441949.9
399323.6
59942.6
Blue121
441574.8
770954.9
2218.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9216650150200250125121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+16Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +23
23Coral scored#10
84Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
98Total teleop75
Reef
9L4#7
10L3#3
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
125Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4419
#12
49.91.5
40.642.1
Auto8.0
Teleop36.7
End5.1
blue by 25.0
74.82.6
71.869.3
Auto15.7
Teleop49.3
End9.8
Second
599
#30
42.61.4
34.535.9
Auto8.5
Teleop32.9
End1.2
blue by 12.3
7709
#13
54.92.6
47.244.6
Auto14.0
Teleop39.1
End1.8
Third
3993
#24
23.62.3
15.217.5
Auto4.8
Teleop15.1
End3.7
red by 4.7
22
#22
18.94.3
26.221.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned46%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned