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Red74
98042.0
852120.6
392513.2
Blue145
258438.6
715750.3
704240.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6312405010015020074145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+55
Endgame+77
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +45
10Coral scored#16
37Coral points56
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#7
12Processor points18
8Net points28
20Algae points46
57Total teleop102
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
6Foul points0
74Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
#20
42.00.5
31.331.8
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.7
blue by 8.3
7157
#10
50.32.6
40.943.5
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End6.9
Second
8521
#36
20.60.5
19.720.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.7
End1.0
blue by 19.9
7042
#11
40.62.6
26.128.7
Auto6.2
Teleop28.6
End5.8
Third
3925
#40
13.20.6
9.29.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End3.1
blue by 25.3
2584
#32
38.62.6
38.441.0
Auto6.4
Teleop24.6
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned