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Red98
39947.4
340826.7
586918.2
Blue136
69120.8
29457.2
399323.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9695608012014098136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+32
Endgame+34
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +25
15Coral scored#19
53Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
67Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#10
6L3#4
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
8Foul points12
98Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#3
47.40.3
40.840.5
Auto8.1
Teleop33.2
End6.2
blue by 9.8
294
#8
57.21.8
46.948.7
Auto10.8
Teleop43.8
End2.6
Second
3408
#27
26.70.6
25.525.0
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End1.4
red by 3.1
3993
#24
23.63.0
17.520.5
Auto4.8
Teleop15.1
End3.7
Third
5869
#31
18.20.4
13.713.3
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
blue by 2.7
691
#35
20.83.0
19.522.5
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed