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Red73
760713.6
947118.8
116039.1
Blue136
263741.1
170025.2
412353.9
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5596015073136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+69
Endgame+71
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +62
6Coral scored#22
22Coral points80
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
36Total teleop98
Reef
4L4#11
3L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#6
12Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
14Foul points6
73Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#25
39.10.0
27.327.4
Auto8.8
Teleop26.4
End3.8
blue by 14.8
4123
#16
53.93.4
41.044.3
Auto14.3
Teleop37.8
End1.8
Second
9471
#39DQ
18.80.1
13.513.6
Auto3.4
Teleop16.2
End-0.8
blue by 22.4
41.13.4
25.328.7
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1
Third
7607
#37
13.60.0
14.614.7
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.5
blue by 11.7
1700
#14
25.23.0
15.818.8
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed