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Red200
366944.2
441574.8
501239.8
Blue125
607226.9
1021334.7
240429.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16471050100150200250200125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+45Teleop
+69Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +49
29Coral scored#17
105Coral points62
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
24Processor points18
16Net points16
40Algae points34
145Total teleop96
Reef
13L4#11
9L3#3
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#29
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
6Foul points0
200Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.82.7
69.372.0
Auto15.7
Teleop49.3
End9.8
red by 40.2
34.74.5
27.732.2
Auto7.5
Teleop24.7
End2.4
Second
3669
#15
44.23.0
31.734.7
Auto8.7
Teleop29.2
End6.3
red by 15.2
2404
#38
29.04.5
17.522.1
Auto6.5
Teleop21.8
End0.7
Third
5012
#21
39.83.0
35.538.5
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End4.3
red by 12.9
6072
#23
26.93.0
23.926.9
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed