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Red149
395226.9
347659.1
98042.0
Blue97
852120.6
59942.6
2218.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116845010015014997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+50Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
24Coral scored#19
87Coral points70
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
117Total teleop84
Reef
11L4#8
6L3#6
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
149Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.12.4
42.244.6
Auto11.7
Teleop40.1
End7.3
red by 16.4
599
#30
42.60.5
35.936.4
Auto8.5
Teleop32.9
End1.2
Second
980
#20
42.02.4
31.834.3
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.7
red by 21.4
8521
#36
20.60.5
20.220.7
Auto2.9
Teleop16.7
End1.0
Third
3952
#26
26.92.4
27.429.8
Auto5.1
Teleop16.4
End5.5
red by 8.1
22
#22
18.90.9
21.922.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed