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Red125
116039.1
412353.9
586918.2
Blue133
656053.7
68734.6
607226.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9713050150200125133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+10Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
15Coral scored#19
55Coral points69
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
89Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#5
7L3#9
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
125Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4123
#16
53.91.9
44.346.3
Auto14.3
Teleop37.8
End1.8
red by 0.2
53.71.0
47.848.8
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End9.8
Second
1160
#25
39.11.9
27.429.3
Auto8.8
Teleop26.4
End3.8
red by 4.5
687
#28
34.61.0
31.832.8
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End4.5
Third
5869
#31
18.21.9
13.315.2
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
blue by 8.8
6072
#23
26.91.0
26.927.9
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned