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Qual 262025 Aerospace Valley Regional
Red130
441949.9
1021334.7
39947.4
Blue110
366944.2
947118.8
528535.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13379050100150200130110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points17
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +27
19Coral scored#14
67Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
91Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#8
8L3#3
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points14
130Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4419
#12
49.91.0
42.1→43.2
Auto8.0
Teleop36.7
End5.1
red by 5.7
3669
#15
44.21.3
34.7→36.0
Auto8.7
Teleop29.2
End6.3
Second
399
#3
47.41.0
40.5→41.5
Auto8.1
Teleop33.2
End6.2
red by 11.8
5285
#17
35.61.3
28.9→30.1
Auto8.2
Teleop24.1
End3.2
Third
10213
#6
34.71.7
32.2→33.9
Auto7.5
Teleop24.7
End2.4
red by 15.9
9471
#39
18.82.1
13.6→15.7
Auto3.4
Teleop16.2
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed