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Red79
69120.8
240429.0
501239.8
Blue118
84663.4
392513.2
770954.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931225015020079118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+35
Endgame+35
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +14
11Coral scored#13
39Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
57Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#6
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
2Foul points6
79Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5012
#21
39.80.4
38.538.1
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End4.3
blue by 23.5
846
#5
63.40.6
45.646.2
Auto13.5
Teleop46.8
End3.0
Second
2404
#38
29.00.6
22.121.5
Auto6.5
Teleop21.8
End0.7
blue by 26.0
7709
#13
54.90.6
47.448.0
Auto14.0
Teleop39.1
End1.8
Third
691
#35
20.80.6
22.021.3
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
red by 7.6
3925
#40
13.20.6
9.810.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed