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Red119
151531.3
98042.0
2218.9
Blue171
340826.7
263741.1
29457.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79124050100150200250119171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+62
Endgame+52
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +48
13Coral scored#21
48Coral points76
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#9
18Processor points18
16Net points36
34Algae points54
82Total teleop130
Reef
4L4#10
7L3#9
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points0
119Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
#20
42.01.6
34.335.9
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.7
blue by 15.2
294
#8
57.23.0
51.554.5
Auto10.8
Teleop43.8
End2.6
Second
1515
#34
31.31.6
19.220.8
Auto4.4
Teleop19.7
End7.2
blue by 9.8
41.13.0
30.833.8
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1
Third
22
#22
18.92.7
22.825.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End3.6
blue by 7.9
3408
#27
26.75.0
23.928.9
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed