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Red62
607226.9
258438.6
744716.7
Blue28
68734.6
606010.8
760713.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104742040601201401601806228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+32Teleop
+42Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +39
9Coral scored#0
31Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
39Total teleop0
Reef
5L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#3
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points8
62Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2584
#32
38.61.7
39.738.0
Auto6.4
Teleop24.6
End7.5
red by 4.0
687
#28
34.63.1
32.829.7
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End4.5
Second
6072
#23
26.91.7
27.926.3
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
red by 13.4
7607
#37
13.63.1
16.713.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.5
Third
7447
#18
16.71.7
16.414.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End2.8
red by 5.8
6060
#33
10.83.1
17.013.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned