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Red68
59942.6
583524.5
586918.2
Blue184
441574.8
39947.4
116039.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791725010015020025068184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+82
Endgame+104
Fouls+116
AutonomousBlue +35
3Leave3
1Coral scored#8
6Coral points41
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +47
10Coral scored#15
37Coral points54
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
6Processor points24
12Net points24
18Algae points48
55Total teleop102
Reef
3L4#9
4L3#7
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +116
0Foul points12
68Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#30
42.61.1
36.435.3
Auto8.5
Teleop32.9
End1.2
blue by 32.2
74.81.4
71.572.8
Auto15.7
Teleop49.3
End9.8
Second
5835
#29
24.51.1
23.522.4
Auto6.3
Teleop16.8
End1.4
blue by 22.8
399
#3
47.41.4
41.542.9
Auto8.1
Teleop33.2
End6.2
Third
5869
#31
18.21.1
15.214.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
blue by 20.9
1160
#25
39.11.4
29.330.7
Auto8.8
Teleop26.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned