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Red151
441949.9
852120.6
519969.7
Blue178
528535.6
412353.9
84663.4
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136137100120160180151178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+39
Endgame+29
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
6Coral scored#9
30Coral points45
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +18
19Coral scored#24
69Coral points85
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
18Processor points12
16Net points24
34Algae points36
103Total teleop121
Reef
10L4#12
7L3#7
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#8
32Game pieces#41
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
2Foul points0
151Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#19
69.71.4
63.765.1
Auto13.5
Teleop46.1
End10.1
red by 6.4
846
#5
63.43.7
46.249.9
Auto13.5
Teleop46.8
End3.0
Second
4419
#12
49.91.4
43.244.6
Auto8.0
Teleop36.7
End5.1
blue by 4.0
4123
#16
53.93.7
46.350.0
Auto14.3
Teleop37.8
End1.8
Third
8521
#36
20.61.4
20.722.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.7
End1.0
blue by 14.9
5285
#17
35.63.7
30.133.8
Auto8.2
Teleop24.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed