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Red132
715750.3
392513.2
366944.2
Blue125
347659.1
254351.3
947118.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9613050150200132125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
+7Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
19Coral scored#15
68Coral points53
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
12Processor points18
12Net points24
24Algae points42
92Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
8Foul points0
132Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#10
50.31.8
42.944.7
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End6.9
blue by 8.7
59.10.3
44.644.9
Auto11.7
Teleop40.1
End7.3
Second
3669
#15
44.21.8
36.037.8
Auto8.7
Teleop29.2
End6.3
blue by 7.1
51.30.3
51.551.8
Auto4.1
Teleop36.6
End10.5
Third
3925
#40
13.21.8
10.412.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End3.1
blue by 5.5
9471
#39
18.80.5
15.716.1
Auto3.4
Teleop16.2
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned