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Red115
170025.2
656053.7
704240.6
Blue86
501239.8
399323.6
395226.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1099440608012014016018020011586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave0
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points6
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +9
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
73Total teleop64
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
115Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.71.1
48.849.9
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End9.8
red by 13.9
5012
#21
39.80.0
38.138.1
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End4.3
Second
7042
#11
40.61.1
31.532.6
Auto6.2
Teleop28.6
End5.8
red by 13.7
3952
#26
26.90.0
29.829.8
Auto5.1
Teleop16.4
End5.5
Third
1700
#14
25.21.1
18.319.4
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End3.4
red by 1.6
3993
#24
23.60.0
18.318.3
Auto4.8
Teleop15.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned