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Red110
1021334.7
744716.7
263741.1
Blue90
240429.0
340826.7
98042.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9997608012014011090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points20
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +8
16Coral scored#11
57Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
73Total teleop65
Reef
10L4#5
5L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
110Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.11.8
33.835.6
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1
blue by 0.9
980
#20
42.00.2
35.936.2
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.7
Second
34.73.1
33.937.0
Auto7.5
Teleop24.7
End2.4
red by 5.7
2404
#38
29.00.4
21.521.9
Auto6.5
Teleop21.8
End0.7
Third
7447
#18
16.71.8
14.716.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End2.8
blue by 10.1
3408
#27
26.70.4
28.929.3
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed