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Red58
583524.5
760713.6
258438.6
Blue130
84663.4
441949.9
2218.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7614505010020025058130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+76
Endgame+78
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +59
9Coral scored#21
31Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
41Total teleop100
Reef
2L4#9
4L3#8
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
12Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
6Foul points0
58Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2584
#32
38.61.5
38.036.6
Auto6.4
Teleop24.6
End7.5
blue by 24.8
846
#5
63.40.7
49.950.6
Auto13.5
Teleop46.8
End3.0
Second
5835
#29
24.51.5
22.421.0
Auto6.3
Teleop16.8
End1.4
blue by 25.3
4419
#12
49.90.7
44.645.2
Auto8.0
Teleop36.7
End5.1
Third
7607
#37
13.61.5
13.612.2
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.5
blue by 5.3
22
#22
18.91.1
25.626.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed