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Red152
519969.7
151531.3
770954.9
Blue156
586918.2
254351.3
441574.8
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151164100120140180200220152156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +5
21Coral scored#23
77Coral points82
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
12Processor points12
24Net points24
36Algae points36
113Total teleop118
Reef
5L4#10
9L3#6
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
152Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#19
69.70.7
65.165.8
Auto13.5
Teleop46.1
End10.1
blue by 5.1
74.80.6
72.873.4
Auto15.7
Teleop49.3
End9.8
Second
7709
#13
54.90.7
48.048.7
Auto14.0
Teleop39.1
End1.8
red by 3.6
51.30.6
51.852.3
Auto4.1
Teleop36.6
End10.5
Third
1515
#34
31.30.7
20.821.5
Auto4.4
Teleop19.7
End7.2
red by 13.2
5869
#31
18.20.6
14.114.7
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned