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Red59
715750.3
69120.8
760713.6
Blue94
528535.6
441574.8
852120.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731560501002002505994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+41
Endgame+29
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#12
27Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
31Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points6
59Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#10
50.31.1
43.542.4
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End6.9
blue by 24.5
74.82.8
73.470.6
Auto15.7
Teleop49.3
End9.8
Second
691
#35
20.81.8
19.818.0
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
blue by 14.7
5285
#17
35.62.8
35.332.5
Auto8.2
Teleop24.1
End3.2
Third
7607
#37
13.61.1
12.211.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.5
blue by 7.1
8521
#36
20.62.8
20.718.0
Auto2.9
Teleop16.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsMissed