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Red151
347659.1
84663.4
607226.9
Blue144
151531.3
704240.6
441949.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146114100200151144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+17Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +20
23Coral scored#12
82Coral points44
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#9
18Processor points12
12Net points36
30Algae points48
112Total teleop92
Reef
11L4#9
9L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
151Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#5
63.41.6
53.054.6
Auto13.5
Teleop46.8
End3.0
red by 13.5
4419
#12
49.92.6
46.349.0
Auto8.0
Teleop36.7
End5.1
Second
59.11.6
49.651.2
Auto11.7
Teleop40.1
End7.3
red by 18.5
7042
#11
40.62.6
35.037.6
Auto6.2
Teleop28.6
End5.8
Third
6072
#23
26.91.6
24.526.1
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
blue by 4.4
1515
#34
31.32.6
23.025.7
Auto4.4
Teleop19.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned