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Red81
240429.0
258438.6
947118.8
Blue143
656053.7
254351.3
116039.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801635010015020025081143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+40
Endgame+60
Fouls+62
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points19
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +44
9Coral scored#15
34Coral points54
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#5
12Processor points24
8Net points20
20Algae points44
54Total teleop98
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points2
81Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2584
#32
38.60.0
36.936.8
Auto6.4
Teleop24.6
End7.5
blue by 15.1
53.70.2
53.553.3
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End9.8
Second
2404
#38
29.00.1
25.725.6
Auto6.5
Teleop21.8
End0.7
blue by 22.3
51.30.2
53.453.2
Auto4.1
Teleop36.6
End10.5
Third
9471
#39
18.80.1
13.913.9
Auto3.4
Teleop16.2
End-0.8
blue by 20.3
1160
#25
39.10.2
31.130.9
Auto8.8
Teleop26.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned