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Red94
59942.6
69120.8
1021334.7
Blue104
770954.9
583524.5
170025.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9898949610010210494104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
59Total teleop67
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
6Foul points0
94Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#30
42.60.2
36.436.1
Auto8.5
Teleop32.9
End1.2
blue by 12.3
7709
#13
54.91.0
48.849.8
Auto14.0
Teleop39.1
End1.8
Second
34.70.4
37.236.9
Auto7.5
Teleop24.7
End2.4
red by 9.4
1700
#14
25.21.0
19.320.3
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End3.4
Third
691
#35
20.80.4
18.017.6
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
blue by 3.7
5835
#29
24.51.0
20.821.8
Auto6.3
Teleop16.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed