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Red67
760713.6
392513.2
501239.8
Blue126
263741.1
586918.2
519969.7
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55139010015020067126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+39
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
9Coral scored#15
32Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
12Processor points12
8Net points4
20Algae points16
52Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#8
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
2Foul points2
67Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5012
#21
39.80.1
40.540.7
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End4.3
blue by 29.9
5199
#19
69.70.2
66.166.3
Auto13.5
Teleop46.1
End10.1
Second
7607
#37
13.60.1
11.111.2
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.5
blue by 27.6
41.10.2
37.137.4
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1
Third
3925
#40
13.20.1
11.311.4
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End3.1
blue by 4.9
5869
#31
18.20.2
17.117.3
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned