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Red78
412353.9
2218.9
340826.7
Blue197
68734.6
715750.3
441574.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111685010015020025078197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+67
Endgame+77
Fouls+119
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +53
9Coral scored#20
34Coral points71
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
56Total teleop109
Reef
5L4#9
2L3#8
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +119
0Foul points42
78Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4123
#16
53.91.7
49.347.6
Auto14.3
Teleop37.8
End1.8
blue by 21.0
74.80.6
70.671.3
Auto15.7
Teleop49.3
End9.8
Second
3408
#27
26.72.7
29.126.4
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End1.4
blue by 23.6
7157
#10
50.30.6
42.443.0
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End6.9
Third
22
#22
18.92.7
25.622.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End3.6
blue by 15.7
687
#28
34.60.6
32.733.3
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed50%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned