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Red161
84663.4
656053.7
852120.6
Blue105
116039.1
607226.9
29457.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13412750100150200250161105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+44Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +27
26Coral scored#19
94Coral points67
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
112Total teleop85
Reef
14L4#6
6L3#6
8L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
161Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#5
63.42.4
50.653.0
Auto13.5
Teleop46.8
End3.0
red by 6.1
294
#8
57.21.0
56.155.1
Auto10.8
Teleop43.8
End2.6
Second
53.72.4
51.153.5
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End9.8
red by 14.7
1160
#25
39.11.0
32.131.1
Auto8.8
Teleop26.4
End3.8
Third
8521
#36
20.62.4
18.020.4
Auto2.9
Teleop16.7
End1.0
blue by 6.3
6072
#23
26.91.0
25.524.5
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed