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Red150
441949.9
254351.3
240429.0
Blue143
39947.4
704240.6
98042.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14112880100120160180200150143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+17Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +27
23Coral scored#15
83Coral points54
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
18Processor points12
20Net points28
38Algae points40
121Total teleop94
Reef
9L4#7
8L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
150Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.31.1
52.353.4
Auto4.1
Teleop36.6
End10.5
red by 3.9
399
#3
47.41.2
44.145.3
Auto8.1
Teleop33.2
End6.2
Second
4419
#12
49.91.1
45.246.3
Auto8.0
Teleop36.7
End5.1
red by 7.9
980
#20
42.01.2
36.237.4
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.7
Third
2404
#38
29.01.8
23.825.7
Auto6.5
Teleop21.8
End0.7
blue by 11.6
7042
#11
40.61.2
33.735.0
Auto6.2
Teleop28.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned