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Red193
704240.6
84663.4
441574.8
Blue109
586918.2
29457.2
947118.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19085050100150250300193109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+68Teleop
+84Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave0
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points26
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +50
21Coral scored#20
75Coral points71
5Processor algae#0
7Net algae#3
30Processor points0
28Net points12
58Algae points12
133Total teleop83
Reef
11L4#10
8L3#4
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#28
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points0
193Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.81.2
71.372.5
Auto15.7
Teleop49.3
End9.8
red by 17.6
294
#8
57.20.8
55.155.9
Auto10.8
Teleop43.8
End2.6
Second
846
#5
63.41.2
54.655.8
Auto13.5
Teleop46.8
End3.0
red by 44.6
9471
#39
18.81.1
13.915.0
Auto3.4
Teleop16.2
End-0.8
Third
7042
#11
40.61.2
37.638.8
Auto6.2
Teleop28.6
End5.8
red by 22.4
5869
#31
18.20.8
17.318.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed