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Red156
770954.9
263741.1
607226.9
Blue141
347659.1
744716.7
39947.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127128100110120140150160156141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +5
17Coral scored#20
62Coral points73
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
90Total teleop95
Reef
10L4#8
7L3#8
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points2
156Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7709
#13
54.92.2
49.852.1
Auto14.0
Teleop39.1
End1.8
blue by 4.2
59.11.5
51.252.6
Auto11.7
Teleop40.1
End7.3
Second
41.12.2
37.439.6
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1
blue by 6.2
399
#3
47.41.5
46.347.7
Auto8.1
Teleop33.2
End6.2
Third
6072
#23
26.92.2
26.128.3
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
red by 10.2
7447
#18
16.71.5
16.918.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned