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Red109
258438.6
59942.6
151531.3
Blue129
501239.8
441949.9
528535.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10213250150200109129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +30
12Coral scored#18
44Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
6Processor points12
20Net points24
26Algae points36
70Total teleop100
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#8
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
109Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#30
42.60.1
36.136.2
Auto8.5
Teleop32.9
End1.2
blue by 7.2
4419
#12
49.90.0
49.049.0
Auto8.0
Teleop36.7
End5.1
Second
2584
#32
38.60.1
36.836.9
Auto6.4
Teleop24.6
End7.5
blue by 1.3
5012
#21
39.80.0
40.740.7
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End4.3
Third
1515
#34
31.30.1
25.725.8
Auto4.4
Teleop19.7
End7.2
blue by 4.2
5285
#17
35.60.0
33.533.4
Auto8.2
Teleop24.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned