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Red78
68734.6
399323.6
240429.0
Blue110
852120.6
395226.9
715750.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8410220406012014016018078110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+26
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
17Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
6Coral scored#13
23Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
47Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points6
78Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#28
34.60.2
33.333.1
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End4.5
blue by 15.8
7157
#10
50.30.8
43.043.8
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End6.9
Second
2404
#38
29.00.3
25.625.3
Auto6.5
Teleop21.8
End0.7
red by 2.0
3952
#26
26.90.8
28.929.7
Auto5.1
Teleop16.4
End5.5
Third
3993
#24
23.60.3
22.522.1
Auto4.8
Teleop15.1
End3.7
red by 3.0
8521
#36
20.60.8
20.421.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned