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Qual 602025 Aerospace Valley Regional
Red112
519969.7
606010.8
366944.2
Blue141
656053.7
98042.0
69120.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12511250100150200112141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+25
Endgame+37
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +11
14Coral scored#19
49Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
77Total teleop88
Reef
5L4#11
5L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
8Foul points0
112Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#19
69.71.2
66.3→65.2
Auto13.5
Teleop46.1
End10.1
red by 16.0
6560
#2
53.72.1
53.3→55.4
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End9.8
Second
3669
#15
44.21.2
42.9→41.7
Auto8.7
Teleop29.2
End6.3
red by 2.2
980
#20
42.02.1
37.9→40.1
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.7
Third
6060
#33
10.81.2
12.0→10.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.6
End1.2
blue by 10.0
691
#35
20.83.1
17.6→20.7
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned