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Red141
947118.8
441574.8
340826.7
Blue137
704240.6
760713.6
347659.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130110050150200250141137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
25Coral scored#18
90Coral points63
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
18Processor points18
8Net points24
26Algae points42
116Total teleop105
Reef
8L4#7
9L3#6
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
141Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.81.8
72.574.3
Auto15.7
Teleop49.3
End9.8
red by 15.8
59.12.3
52.654.9
Auto11.7
Teleop40.1
End7.3
Second
3408
#27
26.72.4
26.128.6
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End1.4
blue by 13.9
7042
#11
40.62.3
38.841.1
Auto6.2
Teleop28.6
End5.8
Third
9471
#39
18.82.4
15.017.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.2
End-0.8
red by 5.2
7607
#37
13.62.3
11.814.0
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned