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Red175
770954.9
240429.0
59942.6
Blue137
151531.3
715750.3
116039.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12510550150200175137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+32Teleop
+24Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave9
5Coral scored#0
25Coral points0
34Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
20Coral scored#16
71Coral points58
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#8
18Processor points24
32Net points32
50Algae points56
121Total teleop114
Reef
5L4#5
11L3#5
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
14Foul points0
175Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7709
#13
54.93.2
52.155.2
Auto14.0
Teleop39.1
End1.8
red by 4.6
7157
#10
50.32.5
43.846.3
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End6.9
Second
599
#30
42.63.2
36.239.4
Auto8.5
Teleop32.9
End1.2
red by 3.6
1160
#25
39.12.5
30.332.8
Auto8.8
Teleop26.4
End3.8
Third
2404
#38
29.04.2
25.329.5
Auto6.5
Teleop21.8
End0.7
blue by 2.4
1515
#34
31.32.5
25.828.2
Auto4.4
Teleop19.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned