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Red197
1021334.7
519969.7
29457.2
Blue176
59942.6
116039.1
347659.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161125100150200197176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+15Teleop
+17Endgame
+21Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +15
20Coral scored#21
72Coral points75
6Processor algae#3
11Net algae#11
36Processor points18
44Net points44
80Algae points62
152Total teleop137
Reef
11L4#9
6L3#5
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#38
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points2
197Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#19
69.71.8
65.267.0
Auto13.5
Teleop46.1
End10.1
red by 10.7
59.12.4
54.957.3
Auto11.7
Teleop40.1
End7.3
Second
294
#8
57.21.8
54.656.3
Auto10.8
Teleop43.8
End2.6
red by 14.6
599
#30
42.62.4
39.441.8
Auto8.5
Teleop32.9
End1.2
Third
34.72.2
33.435.5
Auto7.5
Teleop24.7
End2.4
blue by 4.4
1160
#25
39.12.4
32.835.2
Auto8.8
Teleop26.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned