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Red105
399323.6
947118.8
412353.9
Blue65
151531.3
240429.0
760713.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions997105015020010565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
22Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +31
18Coral scored#11
65Coral points40
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
79Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#4
8L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
105Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4123
#16
53.91.1
48.950.0
Auto14.3
Teleop37.8
End1.8
red by 22.5
1515
#34
31.30.4
28.227.8
Auto4.4
Teleop19.7
End7.2
Second
3993
#24
23.61.5
22.123.6
Auto4.8
Teleop15.1
End3.7
blue by 5.3
2404
#38
29.00.5
29.529.0
Auto6.5
Teleop21.8
End0.7
Third
9471
#39
18.81.4
17.418.8
Auto3.4
Teleop16.2
End-0.8
red by 5.2
7607
#37
13.60.4
14.013.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed