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Red144
528535.6
98042.0
715750.3
Blue75
607226.9
501239.8
340826.7
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331035015020014475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+67Teleop
+67Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +49
16Coral scored#11
58Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
9Net algae#3
12Processor points6
36Net points12
48Algae points18
106Total teleop57
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#4
7L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
2Foul points0
144Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#10
50.31.5
46.347.7
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End6.9
red by 10.5
5012
#21
39.81.5
40.739.2
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End4.3
Second
980
#20
42.01.5
40.141.6
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.7
red by 15.1
6072
#23
26.91.5
28.326.8
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
Third
5285
#17
35.61.5
33.434.9
Auto8.2
Teleop24.1
End3.2
red by 8.8
3408
#27
26.71.8
28.626.7
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed