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Red165
441574.8
656053.7
263741.1
Blue91
852120.6
366944.2
744716.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1947105010015025030016591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+62Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +59
23Coral scored#11
84Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
12Processor points12
24Net points8
36Algae points20
120Total teleop61
Reef
8L4#5
9L3#5
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
165Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.81.1
74.373.2
Auto15.7
Teleop49.3
End9.8
red by 30.7
3669
#15
44.20.1
41.741.6
Auto8.7
Teleop29.2
End6.3
Second
53.71.1
53.051.9
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End9.8
red by 33.1
8521
#36
20.60.1
20.820.6
Auto2.9
Teleop16.7
End1.0
Third
41.11.1
39.638.5
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1
red by 24.5
7447
#18
16.70.1
16.816.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned