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Red141
744716.7
84663.4
68734.6
Blue128
704240.6
412353.9
59942.6
27%Model gave it73%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8911150100150200141128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+3Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
17Coral scored#20
60Coral points73
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
18Processor points12
24Net points28
42Algae points40
102Total teleop113
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#6
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
141Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#5
63.43.4
41.044.3
Auto13.5
Teleop46.8
End3.0
red by 9.5
4123
#16
53.91.6
39.441.0
Auto14.3
Teleop37.8
End1.8
Second
687
#28
34.63.4
27.130.4
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End4.5
blue by 8.1
599
#30
42.61.5
33.034.5
Auto8.5
Teleop32.9
End1.2
Third
7447
#18
16.73.7
11.315.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End2.8
blue by 23.9
7042
#11
40.61.5
24.626.1
Auto6.2
Teleop28.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed