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Red142
340826.7
366944.2
770954.9
Blue71
947118.8
501239.8
852120.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1077505015020014271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+67Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave0
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points6
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +36
19Coral scored#12
69Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
6Processor points12
24Net points8
30Algae points20
99Total teleop63
Reef
11L4#4
7L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
142Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7709
#13
54.92.8
44.447.2
Auto14.0
Teleop39.1
End1.8
red by 15.1
5012
#21
39.80.3
35.835.5
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End4.3
Second
3669
#15
44.23.5
28.231.7
Auto8.7
Teleop29.2
End6.3
red by 23.5
8521
#36
20.60.3
20.019.7
Auto2.9
Teleop16.7
End1.0
Third
3408
#27
26.74.7
20.825.5
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End1.4
red by 8.0
9471
#39
18.80.4
14.013.5
Auto3.4
Teleop16.2
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed