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Red139
760713.6
441574.8
441949.9
Blue48
395226.9
392513.2
151531.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15353010020025013948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+77Teleop
+69Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
0Leave6
7Coral scored#0
37Coral points0
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +46
13Coral scored#4
46Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
64Total teleop18
Reef
10L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
22Foul points0
139Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.80.8
72.771.8
Auto15.7
Teleop49.3
End9.8
red by 43.5
1515
#34
31.30.7
20.720.0
Auto4.4
Teleop19.7
End7.2
Second
4419
#12
49.91.0
41.640.6
Auto8.0
Teleop36.7
End5.1
red by 23.0
3952
#26
26.90.7
26.025.3
Auto5.1
Teleop16.4
End5.5
Third
7607
#37
13.61.1
14.913.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.5
red by 0.3
3925
#40
13.20.7
9.38.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned