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Red72
715750.3
263741.1
399323.6
Blue190
29457.2
528535.6
656053.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841085015020072190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+96
Endgame+116
Fouls+118
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +89
6Coral scored#26
23Coral points94
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
37Total teleop126
Reef
3L4#13
3L3#6
2L2#8
1L1 · trough#5
12Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +118
6Foul points8
72Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#10
50.31.2
41.240.1
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End6.9
blue by 6.9
294
#8
57.26.8
39.646.4
Auto10.8
Teleop43.8
End2.6
Second
41.11.5
25.023.4
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End4.1
blue by 12.6
53.75.6
41.446.9
Auto9.0
Teleop34.8
End9.8
Third
3993
#24
23.61.9
17.115.2
Auto4.8
Teleop15.1
End3.7
blue by 11.9
5285
#17
35.66.8
17.424.2
Auto8.2
Teleop24.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned