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Red124
2218.9
1021334.7
704240.6
Blue92
519969.7
607226.9
69120.8
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54130010015020012492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
16Coral scored#12
59Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
77Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
12Foul points0
124Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7042
#11
40.64.6
20.024.6
Auto6.2
Teleop28.6
End5.8
blue by 29.1
5199
#19
69.70.9
62.561.6
Auto13.5
Teleop46.1
End10.1
Second
34.710.9
35.024.1
Auto7.5
Teleop24.7
End2.4
red by 7.8
6072
#23
26.91.2
24.122.9
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End2.2
Third
22
#22
18.96.3
17.824.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End3.6
blue by 2.0
691
#35
20.81.5
18.617.2
Auto6.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned