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Red78
947118.8
770954.9
68734.6
Blue104
98042.0
501239.8
583524.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988805015020078104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+18
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
4Coral scored#2
18Coral points10
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +22
9Coral scored#14
31Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
49Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points8
78Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7709
#13
54.90.7
45.144.4
Auto14.0
Teleop39.1
End1.8
red by 12.9
980
#20
42.01.1
28.529.6
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.7
Second
687
#28
34.60.7
27.727.1
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End4.5
blue by 5.3
5012
#21
39.81.2
34.635.8
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End4.3
Third
9471
#39
18.81.1
15.014.0
Auto3.4
Teleop16.2
End-0.8
blue by 5.8
5835
#29
24.51.0
19.320.3
Auto6.3
Teleop16.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed