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Red102
852120.6
116039.1
258438.6
Blue112
39947.4
366944.2
151531.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8992607080100110120102112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points16
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points42
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
68Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
102Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#25
39.11.4
24.425.8
Auto8.8
Teleop26.4
End3.8
blue by 8.3
399
#3
47.41.8
38.340.0
Auto8.1
Teleop33.2
End6.2
Second
2584
#32
38.61.4
35.637.0
Auto6.4
Teleop24.6
End7.5
blue by 5.6
3669
#15
44.22.4
25.928.2
Auto8.7
Teleop29.2
End6.3
Third
8521
#36
20.61.7
18.320.0
Auto2.9
Teleop16.7
End1.0
blue by 10.7
1515
#34
31.32.4
18.320.7
Auto4.4
Teleop19.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned