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Red207
441574.8
68734.6
519969.7
Blue138
84663.4
412353.9
116039.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187147100200250207138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+33Teleop
+57Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +19
30Coral scored#22
107Coral points78
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
125Total teleop106
Reef
15L4#7
10L3#10
5L2#6
7L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#34
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +69
12Foul points0
207Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.80.4
73.573.9
Auto15.7
Teleop49.3
End9.8
red by 11.5
846
#5
63.40.1
59.459.2
Auto13.5
Teleop46.8
End3.0
Second
5199
#19
69.70.4
68.468.8
Auto13.5
Teleop46.1
End10.1
red by 15.9
4123
#16
53.90.1
49.949.7
Auto14.3
Teleop37.8
End1.8
Third
687
#28
34.60.4
33.233.7
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End4.5
blue by 4.5
1160
#25
39.10.1
35.034.9
Auto8.8
Teleop26.4
End3.8